EUR/USD: Fundamentals Match The Technical Trend

 | Sep 01, 2014 03:36AM ET

EURUSD Daily Analysis: German inflation numbers came in as expected (0.8%), US GDP got revised upward (4.2%), US pending home sales beat expectations, and German unemployment did slightly worse than expected. All this has led to a continuation of the technical downtrend (fundamentals matching the trend – who would have thought?) as price has found strong offers under 1.3220, pushing the price back down under 1.3170.

Technically the downtrend remains firmly intact, with a break below 1.3150 to once again put the gas on the bear pedal. Oscillators remain oversold with a strong RSI bullish divergence, but that will happen in a strong trend. It seems that markets keep waiting for a correction but we will continue to trade the trend until we see evidence it is turning, which at this point would mean a break above 1.33.