EUR/USD Trend Remains Strongly Bearish

 | Sep 09, 2014 02:57AM ET

Sideways consolidation on Friday has left our trend analysis and forecast unchanged for now, though we are now actively looking to short (see preferred trades below): the euro has stalled above 1.2920 but the trend remains strongly bearish and calling a bottom is fruitless until we see meaningful technical evidence that the trend has changed. That is not to say the pair is in need of a bullish correction, but at this stage a correction would most likely come about as a result of profit taking, not meaningful sentiment shift, and therefore we expect to find more offers on any rally toward 1.30. A sustained break back above 1.30 would shift our bias to neutral, and a break above 1.3050 could signal a low has been formed at 1.2920.