EUR/USD Top Intact, Below 1.3680/85 For A Bear Bias

 | Feb 10, 2014 03:54AM ET

EUR/USD top intact whilst below 1.3680/85 for a bear bias

A nudge higher Friday after the mini bullish outside Thursday pattern, but still capped by firm topping barriers at 1.3680/85.

Whilst below here, we see the 2014 top as very much intact after the late Jan push through the 1.3508 swing low.

We now look for a roll back lower to the bounce range from ahead of 1.3680/85 to modest props at 1.3555 and 1.3495.

However, we still see bear risk to 1.3400 into mid-Feb

Overshoot risk for Feb is still the 50% retrace and key Q4 swing low 1.3325/ 1.3295.

WHAT CHANGES THIS?

Above 1.3685 eases bear risks; through 1.3775 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 1.3820.

Please see full report with levels and latest audio-visual analysis here :