EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Rebound Finds Fuel Anew

 | Apr 24, 2015 08:18AM ET

Talking Points:

  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.0712, 1.0461, 1.0246
  • Resistance:1.1040, 1.1266, 1.1515

The expected after showing a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.1040, the March 18 high, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1266. Alternatively, a move back below the March 31 low at 1.0712 clears the way for a test of the 1.0461-1.0554 area (March 13 low, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion).

We see the Euro trend as broadly bearish, in line with our long-term outlook . As such, we will approach on-coming gains as corrective in the context of a larger structural decline and position for opportunities to enter short after the move higher is exhausted. In the meantime, we remain flat.