EUR/USD: January Low In The Crosshairs

 | Feb 27, 2015 02:51AM ET

h2 Talking Points:
  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.1185, 1.0970, 1.0796
  • Resistance:1.1318, 1.1533, 1.1659

The euro moved sharply lower against the US dollar, with prices attempting to clear path to the late-January low anew. Near-term support is at 1.1185, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 1.0970. Alternatively, a turn above the 1.1276-1318 area (January 30 close, 14.6% Fib expansion) clears the way for a test of the February 3 high at 1.1533.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering shorting line with our long-term outlook as prices sit squarely at support. We will remain on the sidelines for the time being, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.