EUR/USD: 1.12 Breaks Despite Down Gap

 | Jun 30, 2015 01:31AM ET

Talking Points:

  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.1188, 1.1098, 1.1043
  • Resistance:1.1261, 1.1334, 1.1424

The euro gapped sharply lower against the US dollar but a swift intraday recovery brought prices back above the 1.12 figure. Near-term resistance is at 1.1261, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 1.1334. Alternatively, a reversal below the 38.2% Fib at 1.1188 clears the way for a test of the 23.6% expansion at 1.1098.

The available trading range is too narrow to justify entering a trade in line with our long-term euro outlook from a risk/reward perspective. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now, waiting for price action to offer a more compelling opportunity down the road.