EUR/USD Near-Term Support At 0.7941

 | Sep 11, 2014 06:04AM ET

Talking Points:

  • EUR/GBP Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.7941, 0.7889, 0.7864
  • Resistance: 0.8033, 0.8074, 0.8136

The euro recoiled from familiar resistance above the 0.83 against the British pound, prices sinking back to the middle of a three-month range. Near-term support is at 0.7941, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the range floor at 0.7889. Alternatively, a reversal above range resistance at 0.8033 clears the way for a challenge of the 38.2% Fib retracement at 0.8074.

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.