EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: 2-Month Down Trend at Risk

 | Apr 24, 2015 08:09AM ET

Talking Points:

  • EUR/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 128.58, 127.63, 126.08
  • Resistance:129.27, 130.13, 131.38

The Japanese Yen , with prices moving to challenge the bounds of the down trend established from mid-February. Near-term trend line resistance is at 129.27, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 130.13. Alternatively, turn below the 23.6% level at 128.58 opens the door for a challenge of the 14.6% Fib at 127.63.

Prices are too close to resistance to justify entering long from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests that taking up the short side is premature. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now.