EUR/GBP: July Bottom In The Spotlight

 | Oct 23, 2014 03:52AM ET

Talking Points:

  • EUR/GBP Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.7873, 0.7777, 0.7728
  • Resistance: 0.7953, 0.8049, 0.8082

The euro declined as expected against the British pound after showing a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 0.7873-96 area, marked by the July 23 low and the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 0.7777-0.7803 zone (July 2012 bottom, 38.2% level). Alternatively, a turn above the 14.6% Fib at 0.7953 opens the door for a challenge of the 0.8030-49 zone (September 9 close, falling channel top).

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests that taking up the long side is premature. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.