Octa | May 08, 2018 02:51AM ET
A combination of economic data and monetary policy speculation will dictate market action on Tuesday.
The economic data wire begins in Europe at 05:45 with a report on Swiss unemployment. Switzerland’s jobless rate is projected to hold steady at 2.9% in April.
German industrial production will make headlines at 06:00 GMT. Output at German factories is forecast to rise 0.8% in March, translating into an annualized growth rate of 3%.
The German government will also report on the national trade balance at 06:00 GMT. Berlin’s monthly trade surplus is forecast to expand to €27 billion in March from €20.7 billion in February. In seasonally adjusted terms, the surplus likely expanded by €800 million to €20 billion.
Exports are projected to rise 1.8% month on month. Imports are forecast to grow.
Shifting gears to North America, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to deliver a speech at 07:15 GMT. The Fed chief led the central bank in holding interest rates steady last week. Policymakers are expected to continue raising interest rates when they meet in June.
In terms of economic data, the American Petroleum Institute (API) will release its weekly report on US crude inventories. Official inventory data courtesy of the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) are due the following morning.
US oil prices surged on Monday to their highest level in three-and-a-half years. There’s reason to believe that crude prices will continue trekking higher in the short term as OPEC supports sustained output cuts through 2018.
EUR/USD
Europe’s common currency edged higher at the beginning of the week but failed to sustain a consistent rally. As a result, EUR/USD settled around 1.920, where the pair was last seen trading. EUR/USD has established a bottom near 1.1900, with prices bottoming out of the hole early on Monday. However, the overall trend remains firmly bearish with the US dollar aiming higher.
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