ECB Preview: Market Dynamics Favor Euro and Yen
Gregor Horvat | Mar 07, 2024 05:03AM ET
It's going to be an important day for the ECB, when they will announce their latest policy decision. Market and speculators know that ECB is somehow hawkish, so EURUSD has gained some moves ahead of the event, a trend that is also driven by Powell's comments from yesterday, who said that incoming data will determine when they will start reduction rates. Important here is "will", and "reducing". There is not "hike" mentioned, so market is certain that FED will cut sometime this year, thus speculators already positioned themself for USD weakness as US yeilds turned down this week. Also, we have to add a drop of USDJPY to this story, as dollar is being sold and jpy bought on speculation that BoJ is preparing to change the rate policy. Further weakness on DXY is expected as we are tracking impulse on 1h chart; similar is with USDJPY, but it may find some support 147.00/60 but most likely more weakness is coming after the next fourth wave rally.
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