Dollar Gain Traction Following Hawkish Fed Speak

 | Sep 22, 2015 08:52AM ET

Despite the recent dovish bent by the Federal Reserve, it appears that the dollar is gaining traction as the ECB and BOJ prepare to further ease monetary policy in an effort to drive down the value of their currencies and increase export growth. The Fed speak from current and non-current voting members has been mixed with Fed's Bullard and, to a lesser extent, Lacker tilting toward a hawkish tone. Bullard has discussed the need to normalize rates sooner rather than later to avoid 50 basis points and 75 basis point hikes when inflation gets out of control. This seems farfetched at the moment, with inflation rising 1.8% year over year for core CPI.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD sliced through trend line support and appears to be poised to test the 50-day moving average at 1.1125. Resistance on the currency pair is seen near the 20-day moving average at 1.1245. Momentum on the currency pair turned negative with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index generating a sell signal. This occurs as the spread (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) crosses below the 9-day moving average of the spread.