Defense Stocks Hit All-Time Highs On Arms Deal: 5 Best Buys

 | May 22, 2017 09:11PM ET

President Donald Trump sealed a multi-billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia, a move that strengthened a decade long alliance with the world’s largest oil exporter as the kingdom’s economy opens. Arms sales to Saudi Arabia catapulted stocks in defense companies to record highs.

And history shows that such key deals boost the value of defense firms. Banking on such bullish trends, investing in some solid defense stocks seems judicious.

US-Saudi Arabia Seal Weapon Deal

Trump signed an almost $110 billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia, which could be worth $350 billion over the next 10 years. The White House said that this was “a significant expansion of security relationship” between the countries.

Saudi Arabia imported $3 billion worth of U.S. arms last year, the maximum by any country. Saudi Arabia is also the primary destination for U.S. arms sales, with the kingdom acquiring nearly 10% of U.S. exports in the 2011 to 2015 period.

The oil-rich kingdom is on a broad-based push for economic development and is looking forward to signing a series of deals with private U.S. corporations worth tens of billions of dollars. The arms package will boost Saudi Arabia’s military prowess as tensions flare in the region. Saudi Arabia is being targeted by radical Islamic extremism, hence, such a deal will help the country counter terrorist attacks.

The U.S. also views the nation as a potential partner in its endeavor to check the global ambitions of Iran. Further, the Saudi Arabia deal could lead to additional sales for both Israel and the Persian Gulf countries, all of whom are apprehensive about Iran’s aggressive foreign policy and its support toward terrorist groups in the region.

Benefactors of the Deal

Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) is poised to be the biggest gainer from the deal. The world’s largest defense contractors, whose technology was part of the agreement, said that the deal “will directly contribute to Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 by opening the door for thousands of highly skilled jobs in new economic sectors”. According to Lockheed Martin, Saudi Arabia has “expressed its intent” to buy $28 billion worth of weapons systems from the company. This includes 150 Sikorsky helicopters, the THAAD missile defense system and four littoral combat ships.

Jet maker Boeing Co (NYSE:BA) also signed a handful of deals with Saudi Arabia during Trump’s weekend visit. This involved the sale of military and passenger aircraft. Raytheon Company (NYSE:RTN) , which has done business in the Middle East for more than five decades, plans to form Raytheon Arabia that will create home-grown defense, aerospace and security capabilities in Saudi Arabia in areas like cybersecurity and missile defense.

In fact, these types of arms deals have led to the rally in defense stocks in the past, according to CNBC analysis using Kensho. Going back to 2009, one month after the then U.S.-Saudi Arabia arms deal, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (HM:ITA) was up 3.3%, reflecting almost double the return of the S&P 500.

Defense Stocks Soar to All-Time Highs

This time also it seems Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia is paying off for defense stocks. Shares of Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) and other big defense players rallied on May 22 on the arms deal.

While Lockheed Martin was the big winner with 1.6% after jumping to a new 52-week high of $280.79 per share, General Dynamics went up 0.9% to $197.55, after hitting a 52-week high of $199 a share. Raytheon, in the meantime, rallied 0.4% after peaking to $163.57 a share, also a 52-week high. Boeing was up 1.2% to just under $183 a share, but, unlike others it did not scale a 52-week high. Nevertheless, the PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Portfolio Zacks Investment Research

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