DAX Rebound Forces Resume

 | Aug 14, 2019 02:36AM ET

A Tuesday surge higher by the German DAX index after initial weakness down to just prod 11536 support (from 11529), to reject Monday’s failure with a push above resistance at 11830, resuming the short-term bottoming attempt, to switch the bias back higher for Wednesday.

Key for the DAX in the very short-term will be today's release of the EU GDP data. You can see more fundamental details here in the FX Explained MacroWatch .

We see an intermediate-term bear trend.

For Today:

· We see an upside bias for 11833.5/45; break here aims for 11900 and maybe towards 11989.

· But below 11729 opens risk down to 11625/600.

Intermediate-term Outlook - Downside Risks: We see a downside risk for 11423.

· Lower targets would be 11271 and 10859.

· What Changes This? Above 12260 shifts the intermediate-term outlook back to neutral; above 12466 is needed for an intermediate-term bull theme.