Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY

 | Mar 04, 2015 04:07AM ET

h2 GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.46; (P) 184.08; (R1) 184.52;

With 181.65 minor support intact, further rally is expected in GBP/JPY for 187.79/189.70 resistance zone. We'd expect strong resistance from there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, below 181.65 minor support will suggest that rise from 175.49 has completed and will turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 is starting to lose medium term momentum again with bearish divergence condition seen in weekly MACD. Medium term top could be around the corner, if not formed. Break of 168.01 support will confirm this bearish case and bring deeper correction. Though, as long as 168.01 holds, the up trend could still extend to 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level.