Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : December 21, 2015
ActionForex | Dec 21, 2015 04:32AM ET
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.45; (P) 181.66; (R1) 182.78;
GBP/JPY's fall from 188.79 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 180.36 has completed at 188.79. And more importantly, whole decline from 195.86 is possibly resuming. Decisive break of 180.36 will target 174.86 key support level next. On the upside, above 182.12 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.
In the bigger picture, the breach of the medium term trend line support is taken as a sign of trend reversal. This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level. Break of 174.86 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we'll be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring reversal finally.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.59; (P) 132.18; (R1) 133.34;
The break of 132.22 minor support suggests that rebound from 129.66 is finished at 134.58 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 129.66 first. As noted before, EUR/JPY is staying in a falling channel that started at 141.04 and deeper decline is in favor. Break of 129.66 will target a test on 126.09 low.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 149.76 medium term top is viewed as corrective in nature. Strong rebound after failing to sustain below 38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 128.50 argues that it's developing into a sideway pattern. We'd expect more range trading between 126.09 and 149.76 in medium term. And that should then be followed by an upside breakout at a later stage. Nonetheless, decisive break of 126.09 would extend the correction towards 61.8% retracement at 115.36.
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