GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY: Daily Currency Outlook

 | Dec 15, 2014 05:15AM ET

h2 GBP/JPY Daily Outlook/h2

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.13; (P) 185.97; (R1) 186.99;

The correction from 189.70 is expected to extend lower to 184.31 and below. But at this point, we'd expect strong support from 181.09, 38.2% retracement of 168.01 to 189.70 at 181.41, to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 189.70 is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, we'd expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level. On the downside, break of 168.01 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

h2 /h2 h3 EUR/JPY Daily Outlook/h3

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.97; (P) 147.92; (R1) 149.05;

No change in EUR/JPY's outlook. The correction from 149.76 short term top is expected to head lower to 144.21 and below. But at this point, we'd expect strong support from 142.08, 50% retracement of 134.13 to 149.76 at 141.94, to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.76 is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, we'd expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 94.11 long term bottom is still in progress for 76.4% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 152.59 next. Break of 152.59 will target a test on 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 134.13 is needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish.