Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY
ActionForex | Jul 15, 2014 04:15AM ET
Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.19; (P) 173.59; (R1) 173.85;
With 174.41 minor resistance intact, another decline is still in favor in GBP/JPY. Break of 172.46 will confirm near term reversal and target 169.53 key support level next. However, above 174.41 will mix up the near term outlook and turn bias back to the upside for 175.36 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) might continue higher. But again, as medium term momentum is unconvincing as seen in weekly MACD. Thus, we'd expect strong resistance from 50% retracement retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 183.96 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained break of 169.53 support should confirm medium term topping and turn outlook bearish.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.91; (P) 138.18; (R1) 138.53;
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment but with 138.75 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. As noted before, the cross in in the third leg of the pattern from 145.68. Below 137.49 will target 136.22 support next. On the upside, above 138.75 will turn focus back to 139.27 resistance and break will indicates near term reversal.
In the bigger picture, loss of upside momentum was seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. However, EUR/JPY is so far holding above 135.50 key support. Thus, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. Break of 145.68 will extend the up trend from 94.11 towards 76.4% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 152.59 before topping. Meanwhile, break of 135.50 will confirm reversal and target 124.95 support.
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