Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY

 | Jul 31, 2013 03:43AM ET

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.72; (P) 149.82; (R1) 150.45;

GBP/JPY's fall from 154.04 continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 148.77 support. Such decline is viewed as the third leg of the correction pattern from 156.77. Break of 148.77 will confirm this bearish case and target 147.10 and below. On the upside, above 150.92 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top is in place at 156.77 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper pull back could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 118.82 to 156.77 at 142.27. Strong support would likely be seen at 140.37 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Overall, we'd still expect whole rise from 116.83 medium term bottom to resume later to 163.05 resistance and above after completing the correction.