Daily Currency Outlook: USD/CAD And EUR/CHF : December 21,2018

 | Dec 21, 2018 05:36AM ET

h2
USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3426; (P) 1.3466; (R1) 1.3518;

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside. Rise from 1.2781 is part of the up trend from 1.2061 and would target 1.3685 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 1.3415 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring consolidations. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3164 support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) is still in progress and should target to 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, such rise is not clearly impulsive yet. And it could be the second leg of the long term corrective pattern that started at 1.4689. Hence, even in case of further rally, we’d be cautious on loss of momentum and topping above 1.3685. Nevertheless, in any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.2972) holds.

h2 EUR/CHF Daily Outlook/h2

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1287; (P) 1.1318; (R1) 1.1339;

EUR/CHF lost momentum again after hitting 1.1348 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case the choppy fall from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1224, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Hence, downside of current retreat should be contain well above 1.1224 to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.1348 will target a test on 1.1501 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

/h2
Get The News You Want
Read market moving news with a personalized feed of stocks you care about.
Get The App

Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Sign out
Are you sure you want to sign out?
NoYes
CancelYes
Saving Changes