Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/JPY And GBP/JPY : December 19,2018
ActionForex | Dec 19, 2018 05:55AM ET
Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.64; (P) 127.88; (R1) 128.11;
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first as it’s bounded in range of 127.61/129.25. On the downside, break of 127.61 support will resume the fall from 130.14 and target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. Overall, consolidation from 126.63 could still extend. But even in case of another strong recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.
h2 GBP/JPY Daily Outlook/h2
Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.90; (P) 142.28; (R1) 142.63;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook remains bearish with 144.02 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, below 141.17 will resume the fall from 149.70 and target 139.29/47 key support zone. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, decisive break of 144.02 will suggest near term reversal. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 144.96) and above.
In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.
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