Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/GBP And EUR/AUD : July 19,2018

 | Jul 19, 2018 02:29AM ET

h2 EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8876; (P) 0.8904; (R1) 0.8935;

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the momentum. The rise from 0.8620 is in progress for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Decisive break should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305 and pave the way to retest this high. For now, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 0.8815 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

h2 EUR/AUD Daily Outlook/h2

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5695; (P) 1.5764; (R1) 1.5802;

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5696 minor support indicate short term topping at 1.5886, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now on the downside. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5886 at 1.5651 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.5506 and below. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.5886 will resume the rise from 1.5271 for 1.6189 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5217 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).