Dmitriy Gurkovskiy | Sep 13, 2021 07:20AM ET
Brent was rising today, trading at $73.60. The Baker Hughes report showed a 7 unit increase in the Oil Rig Count last week. It appeared that the tendency might continue this week as well—the oil producing companies are slowly getting back to normal after the Gulf of Mexico storm.
According to the latest data, about 70% of facilities aren’t operating so far and that’s approximately 1.4 million barrels per day. However, as the number of rigs is slowly increasing, the daily output will get higher as well.
This week, market players’ attention will be focused on the oil supply/demand data from the International Energy Agency. A similar report will be published by OPEC.
In the H4 chart, after completing the correction at 71.20 and rebounding from this level upwards, Brent was trading to break 73.30 and had almost formed an upside continuation pattern. The short-term upside target was at 75.50. After reaching this level, the asset may return to test 73.30 from above and then start a new growth towards 78.50.
From a technical point of view, this scenario was confirmed by the MACD Oscillator: after rebounding from 0, its signal line was expected to continue moving upwards to reach new highs.
From a technical view point, this idea was confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal line was moving above 50 and was expected to continue growing to reach 80.
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