Long Cotton After It Completes 24-Month Double Bottom
Peter Brandt | Aug 02, 2016 01:21AM ET
The dominant construction on the Cotton chart continues to be the completed 24-month double bottom on the weekly Cotton chart. The targets of this bottom are 79.10 (the measured move) and 95.10 (May 2014 high). The December contract was launched by a 5- week pennant. We are long, having taken partial profits.
The market appears to be forming a small 2-week pennant – I am willing to increase my leverage based on this pattern. However, a longer period of congestion or even a sizable correction would be very normal given the magnitude of the Jul 11-13 advance. A decline back toward 71.00 to fill the Jul 13 gap cannot be ruled out. There is no reason at this time to believe the period since the Jul 13 high will become part of a topping pattern.
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