Guy S. Ortmann, CMT | Jun 29, 2017 09:03AM ET
Most Short Term Trends Remain Neutral
Opinion: All of the indexes closed higher yesterday with positive internals on the NYSE and NASDAQ. However, trading volumes were below the prior session’s selloff. No resistance levels were violated on the charts, leaving them mostly in their near term neutral trends. The data is mixed and yielding no dominant directional probabilities. As such the charts and data imply a neutral near term forecast. However, we reiterate our strong concerns that a high level of risk remains present given extended valuation, high levels of margin debt and investment advisor complacency. Although yesterday recovered Tuesday’s damage, albeit on lighter volume, the three factors stated above suggest to us that further similar downdrafts have a reasonably high probability of occurring. As such, we continue to be of the opinion that risk/reward is currently poor and remain “negative” in our view of market potential.
SPX: 2,420/NA
DJI: 21,042/NA
COMPQX: 6,121/6,304
DJT: 9,160/9,554
MID: 1,715/NA
RTY: 1,392/1,427
VALUA: 5,447/5,571
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