China Brings Renewable Energy Growth Back

 | Mar 02, 2015 01:11AM ET

Renewable energy certainly has been in the headlines lately, thanks to Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL).

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The tech giant recently signed an $850-million deal to buy power from a new California solar farm owned by First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR.O) for the next 25 years.

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This is just one example of a bigger trend, as the market starts to turn back to renewable energy. For the first time in three years, the industry saw an increase in investing.

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According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance, new funds invested into clean energy gained 16% in 2014 to reach $310 billion. The record is still $318 billion, set in 2011, but there was a significant upward trend last year. Overall, the world added about 100 gigawatts of solar- and wind-power capacity in 2014.

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The reason for the jump is due mainly to China’s serious attempts to address its pollution problem. The government’s goal is to have 15% of China’s power mix coming from renewable energy sources by 2020.

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Accordingly, the country led the way last year with investments of $89.5 billion (29% of all global renewable energy investment) into renewable energy. That is a rise of 32% from 2013 to a record amount.

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h2 Chinese Means Business/h2

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China is clearly serious about its energy goals. Last year was the first time this century that domestic coal production fell and output was down by 2.1% to 3.5 billion metric tons.

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The China National Coal Association forecast that in 2015 coal production will drop another 2.5%.

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The Xinhua news agency confirmed assumptions, saying in a report that much of the falloff can be directly linked to two factors: new environmental regulations on the industry by the government and increased investment in clean energy.

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Xinhua went on to report that emissions per unit of GDP fell 4.8%, thanks to China’s soaring investments into renewable energy in 2014, particularly solar and wind.

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h2 It’s Always Sunny and Windy in China?/h2

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It’s not always sunny in China, but that hasn’t stopped the country from becoming the top market for energy created by solar power and one of the largest for wind-power energy. Three-fourths of the $90 billion that was spent last year went into solar and wind power.

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China is also the top producer of solar panels, accounting for about 75% of the world’s solar manufacturing.

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So it isn’t surprising that 2014’s top solar panel producers were all Chinese. The leader was Trina Solar Limited (NYSE:TSL), followed by Yingli Green Energy Holding (NYSE:YGE), and JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited (NYSE:JKS). Rounding out the top five are Canadian Solar Inc (NASDAQ:CSIQ) and Sharp Corp (OTC:SHCAY) from Japan.

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On the wind side, China installed more than 50 gigawatts of wind capacity in 2014. This, of course, gave the makers of wind turbines around the world a bump.

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Denmark’s Vestas Wind Systems AS (OTC:VWDRY) beat its competitors for the second year in a row for the No. 1 manufacturing spot. It was followed by Siemens AG NA (OTC:SIEGY), Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd (SZ:002202), and General Electric Company (NYSE:GE).

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h2 Future Still Iffy/h2

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Despite the good news from 2014, two questions still hang over much of the renewable energy industry.

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One question is whether the industry can survive on its own when government subsidies are removed. The second is overcapacity…

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You see, there is still an estimated 15% more solar panels manufactured than demand would dictate.

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The great hope for the renewable energy industry will continue to lie in the Chinese government, which will likely continue to subsidize movement into renewable energy.

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After all, as Angus McCrone of Bloomberg New Energy Finance pointed out, “China has got the greatest power demand needs, and it also has the imperative of reducing urban pollution.”

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And the chase continues,

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BY Tim Maverick

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