Caterpillar Is The Posterchild For Overvalued Market

 | Jan 09, 2017 12:53AM ET

We discuss China's Credit Bubble, Real Estate Bubble, and Non Performing Loans Bubble in relation to CAT (NYSE:CAT); a stock up $30 on a substantial decline in Earnings and Revenue Growth. We think ultimately CAT will cut their dividend like a lot of E&Ps will also be forced to come to terms with.

Current institutional owners of this stock should be dumping this over-valued stock, not to mention any Retail Holders, as we think CAT is going to retest the $60 a share level over the next two years. CAT could very easily be a $20 stock in five years as the ZIRP Free Money Party comes to an end, taking stocks with declining revenues where they would otherwise trade without Central Bank excesses.

CAT 1-Year Performance Defies Fundamental Business Realities

Today’s Trading

Previous close 93.00
Today’s open 93.45
Day’s range 92.41 - 93.60
Volume 4,023,073
Average volume (3 months) 4,856,842
Market cap $54.4B
Dividend yield 3.31%
Data as of 4:00pm ET, 01/06/2017 Growth & Valuation
Earnings growth (last year) -40.48%
Earnings growth (this year) -29.82%
Earnings growth (next 5 years) +2.20%
Revenue growth (last year) -14.81%
P/E ratio 87.0
Price/Sales 0.87
Price/Book 3.66