FxPro Financial Services Ltd | Jan 08, 2018 08:11AM ET
The Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. Dollar on Friday, as the probability of a rate hike by the Bank of Canada (BOC) in January soared to over 80%. The move came after stronger-than-expected domestic jobs data showed that the surging Canadian economy added 78,600 new positions in December for the second month in a row, beating expectations of a modest 1,000 gain. The unemployment rate fell to its lowest point in more than 40 years. The BOC hiked rates last July and September after sitting on the sidelines for almost seven years and then indicated caution in its October statement. However, this jobs report may push the BOC to do what the Canadian economy needs and hike rates again in January.
USD/CAD
USD/CAD traded sharply lower on Friday after the jobs data and since has entered a consolidation phase. The pair retraced some losses, but so far it’s capped at the 1.2416 level which is at the 38.2% retracement of the sharp drop. Provided the pair trades below 1.2416, a move to the 2013 trend line and 78.6% Fibonacci at 1.2242 followed by lows at 1.2063 is possible. On the flip side, a reversal back above resistance would put the bulls back in control with 1.2566 and 1.2632 as areas or resistance.
GBP/CAD
The strength of the Canadian Dollar combined with the weakness of the British Pound would give this cross momentum to the downside. GBP/USD has traded at 1.36 but has been dropping in recent sessions, indicating possible GBP weakness on the horizon.
GBP/CAD has broken out of a trading channel in place from September 2015. While the pair continues to trade below resistance at 1.6870, a continued push lower targets the 200MA at 1.6740 followed by 1.6640 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.6455. However, a break above the resistance level would negate the bearishness and target a test of the 1.70 region again.
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.