Trading The CA GDP M/M Release, September 1, 2015
Henry Liu | Aug 31, 2015 03:28AM ET
CA GDP is expected to come in at 0.2% considering recent drop in commodities and crude in particular. I have very little expectation for any sustainable strengthening in the CAD, as I will be looking to position for a sell on rally.h3 Here’s the forecast:/h3
8:30am NY Time CA GDP m/m Forecast 0.2% Previous -0.2%
DEVIATION: 0.3% (BUY CAD 0.5% / SELL CAD -0.1%)
Let´s look to SELL CAD if we get a -0.1% or worse release, or we’ll BUY CAD on a 0.5% or better release. With recent weakness in seen in CAD, a strong fundamental such as the CA GDP figure may be the catalyst we need to see more volatility in CAD.
I’d recommend to use the Recommended Pairs above as they are based on my CSM and should give you the best combination of currencies to trade in the event of a better/worse news… of course, you can always trade the default pair for this release: USD/CAD.
h3 Outlook Score/h3Outlook score is derived from market sentiment, focus, and economic indicators for the currency. It represents the long-term trend of the currency and its market perception. In short, a strong Outlook Score means more long-term demand for the currency, and a weak Outlook Score is the opposite.
h3 Definition/h3CA GDP is defined as the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of production of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time.
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