Buying A Tranche Of Oil
Simit Patel | Jan 19, 2015 11:23PM ET
I think it's time to start buying oil. We are seeing the market start to show some signs of finding support, as price has been fairly range-bound over the past week -- and even managed to include some bullish pin bars. Fundamentally, I think it's a good value buy as well, as I believe current costs are below production costs for many companies, and significant ongoing production is still needed in spite of the current supply glut we face. With that said, I think the bear market might last a bit longer, so I'm leaving the bulk of my capital available for if price falls below major support at the low $30s.
The PowerShares DB Oil Fund (NYSE:DBO) is my ETF of choice here as it tracks WTI oil over a longer-term basis (it is not just the nearest futures month contract, but a portfolio of futures month contracts spread out over the next 12 months).
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