Bonds, Bond-Like Equities Adjusting To Higher Interest Rate Environment
Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors | Oct 30, 2016 01:05AM ET
The Federal Reserve meets during the first week of November to decide whether or not to increase interest rates . The probability of a rate hike in November stands at only 8.8% while increasing to 63.3% at the December meeting. With the elevated likelihood of an interest rate hike before year end, income focused investments, both fixed income and bond-like equities, are adjusting to this potential outcome.
As can be seen in the above chart, over the last three months, the yield on the 10-Year Treasury has increased over 30 basis points while a few selected income focused ETFs are down five percent or more, with REITs (iShares US Real Estate (NYSE:IYR)) down 10%.
The same return outcome is occurring with some fixed income investments. As the below chart also shows, bond investments are adjusting to a potentially higher interest rate environment as well. Longer term bonds, as represented by the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT)), have fared worse than bonds of a shorter maturity and is down over 7%.
A Fed rate increase before year end is not a certainty; however, with market rates adjusting to a higher level, bond like equities and longer term bonds remain under pressure.
Get The News You Want
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.