Besides All-Time Highs, What’s in DBAs Basket?
Michele Schneider | Mar 12, 2024 01:18AM ET
Not the first time I have given readers this list of leading indicators to watch for a potential rise in inflation:
Last week we focused on sugar.
For the weekend, we focused on silver.
The dollar, also on the list, trades under 103 yet into support.
Today, DBA the Invesco DB Agricultural Fund made a new all-time high.
DBA tracks an index of 10 agricultural commodity futures contracts.
Specifically, the underlying index includes corn, soybeans, wheat, Kansas City wheat, sugar, cocoa, coffee, cotton, live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hogs.
Besides making new all-time highs, DBA is also outperforming SPY.
On Real Motion, momentum is picking up and has not been above the Bollinger band since July 2023.
While momentum is not quite there yet, we imagine should it clear the BB, it will be significant as price should be a lot higher than current levels.
Big picture, tied in with our analysis on sugar future and why they are a key barometer to predicting rising inflation, so is this ETF.
h2 ETF Summary/h2S&P 500 (SPY) 510 pivotal-as in below could see more correction
Russell 2000 (IWM) 205 area support to hold
Dow (DIA) 385 support 400 resistance
Nasdaq (QQQ) 435 key support
Regional banks (KRE) 45-50 range
Semiconductors (SMH) maybe ready to see levels back down to 208
Transportation (IYT) 69 area now support
Biotechnology (IBB) 140-142 resistance 135 support
Retail (XRT) 73 support
iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) 77 big number to hold (still)
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