Bears Regain Momentum as Key ETFs Show Signs of Weakness
Tim Knight | Mar 01, 2023 01:15AM ET
When this month began, it was awful for the bears. They had endured the ravages of an idiotic counter-trend rally that started on Jan. 6, and the smug, swaggering bulls figured the bear market (if there ever was one) had ended already.
The peak was on Groundhog Day (fittingly enough), and the bears have been slowly wiping the smirks off the faces of the bulls ever since. Below are a dozen important ETFs, presented as monthly charts. I have put a remark in the caption below each of them.
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (NYSE:DBC): This is getting deliciously close to a failure of its right triangle top.
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE:EEM): The emerging markets completely reversed their gains from January. It’s right back to New Year’s Even.
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSE:EFA): This is by far my biggest position. Indeed, probably the biggest I’ve ever had.
iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (NYSE:EZU): The Eurozone rallied mightily for a few months but clearly has stalled out.
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iShares China Large-Cap ETF (NYSE:FXI): China’s drop was fantastic. As you all know, I stupidly dumped my FXI puts, and they have since ascended by 200%.
GDX (NYSE:GDX): Precious metals miners completely blew their chance at an ascent.
GLD (NYSE:GLD): Gold did what it specializes in doing, which is bitterly disappointing the kooks.
iShares Transportation Average ETF (NYSE:IYT): The Dow Transports is sporting a beautiful shooting star doji candlestick.
Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ): Speaking of shooting stars, this candlestick is fantastic, and its peak perfectly tagged the Fibonacci.
iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV): As with gold, silver had a rotten month.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT): Bonds are about to enter their 37th month in their bear market. Yow!
Utilities Select Sector SPDR® Fund (NYSE:XLU): I am very pleased that we’re about to enter the lower half of this long-term channel, and congratulations to the Gold and Platinum members who jumped at my short idea with respect to the symbol CNP, which has been doing great!
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