AUD/NZD: High Volatility And Trouble With Identifying Direction

 | Dec 21, 2015 05:15AM ET

AUD/NZD

From June to October 2015 AUD/NZD moved in consolidation between levels 1.1390 - 1.0920. After breaking below the lower limit of the channel, declines stopped at 1.0500. At that support there were a dynamic rebound which led price back to the consolidation. Joy of demand was too early and after 14 days AUD/NZD broke below lower limit of the channel again.

Currently falls reached support at 1.0580, after it breaks, supply will have to deal with 6-months low at 1.0500. Another supports are at levels: 1.0370, 1.0290, 1.0190, 1.0040. If rebound occurs, important level which should cause trend reversal is 1.1300. After it breaks, price will finish the head and shoulders pattern forming since 2 years. It is a trend reversal formation. The nearest resistances are at levels: 1.0760, 1.0880, 1.1070.