AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Range Bottom Under Pressure

 | Jul 03, 2015 01:30AM ET

Talking Points:

  • AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.7559, 0.7499, 0.7417
  • Resistance:0.7680, 0.7731, 0.7818

The expected after producing a bearish Three Inside Down candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 0.7559-97 area (triple bottom, June 1 low), with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion at 0.7499. Alternatively, a move above the 14.6% Fib retracement at 0.7680 opens the door for a challenge of the 23.6% threshold at 0.7731.

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests that taking up the long side is premature. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now.