AUD/USD Sees Negative Range Theme

 | Jul 15, 2014 02:47AM ET

AUD/USD: downside bias through .9360 for .9340/30 area

Narrow range activity to start the week, as we had expected and flagged, within the erratic outside pattern Thursday and a range to maintain a neutral tone after a setback from the .9470 retrace, but holding above .9340/30 supports.

This reinforces a still very indecisive tone into midweek for a broader range theme defined by the Thursday high at .9455 and key .9322 swing low.

We see a defensive consolidation Tuesday below the .9410/15 resistance area, with risk closer to .9340/30 props.

WHAT CHANGES THIS?

Upside: Above .9455 aims through the .9505 cycle high to retrace and chart targets at .9525/45.

Downside: Below .9322 sees a better top and bearish shift to target at .9258, 9230 and maybe the key .9208/00 area.