AUD/CAD: Give The Shorts Another Look

 | Jan 27, 2015 12:34PM ET

h2 Talking Points
  • AUD/CAD lower after hitting major resistance
  • Forming a head-and-shoulders pattern on the 4-hr
  • A move towards 9650 looks probable on a neckline break

Last week, it was pointed out that AUD/CAD was trading at a confluence of resistance levels. After pulling off those levels, a head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on the 4-hr chart. The height of the pattern indicates a measured move of about 280 pips from the neckline, with a target below 9500, however; due to the pattern being ‘tall and narrow’ (less probable to meet measured target), I am focusing on a target equal to the first leg down from 10068 to 9786. If 9930 (morning high) turns out to be the right shoulder, the target I am looking for is 280 pips from that peak – 9650.