An Inconvenient Truth: The HUI:GOLD Ratio Has Just Broken Lower
David Tablish | Jun 22, 2015 07:58AM ET
There are no words to describe the carnage that Precious Metals Stocks have suffered for the past 12 years. There is no consoling those who have invested in this sector, many who have literally lost their life’s savings as they watch in utter disbelief as this horror unfolds.
The best way to gauge the complete evisceration of Precious Metals investors is to follow the HUI:Gold Ratio. This ratio compares the most widely followed PM mining Index, with the HUI as the numerator and the price of gold as the denominator.
The ratio is widely followed by PM Analysts, many who have been calling for it to bottom since it entered its bear market in…get this…2003 ! Yes 2003 !
Rambus has documented the fall of this ratio ever since he began his website and has just posted an update showing it has actually broken out of a small consolidation pattern this past week and is now BELOW where it was at the beginning of the Late, Great, Gold Bull Market in 2001.
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Excerpt from Rambus Chartology Weekend Report June 21 2015:
“Next I would like to update you on the long term HUI:GOLD ratio chart we’ve been following that shows this ratio has finally broken below major long term support, going all the way back to the 2000 low. I have literally waited several years for this ratio chart to break .13 and it finally has. The little H&S consolidation pattern that formed right on the S&R rail has been the key in looking for this ratio to break to new all time lows”
Please take a moment to let this stunning chart sink in. Especially if you have been holding PM stocks with the view that this ratio cannot possibly go any lower, or if you have been bottom fishing in this god-forsaken sector.
The price of the major PM mining stocks, as represented by the HUI, is BELOW where they were when gold was trading at $250, 15 years ago.
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And in spite of all the analysts saying this was absolutely impossible, this Incredible ratio is breaking down yet again to new all time lows.
The mind boggles.
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