Altria, BCE: Quality Dividend Stocks Likely To Rally Strongly In 2019

 | Feb 11, 2019 02:28AM ET

With the U.S. Federal Reserve skewing more dovish and the risks to economic growth still elevated, 2019 is shaping up to be a year where owning some quality dividend stocks could be the right move for just about any portfolio. We believe dividend stocks will rally strongly in 2019 now that the Fed has held its benchmark interest rate steady as of its January 30 meeting.

The central bank's path to slower interest rate hikes delivers a clear signal to investors that bond yields, which compete directly with dividend paying stocks, won’t be rising as quickly as was earlier expected.

Both futures and bond markets have already adjusted to this reality. Futures markets are now pricing in a strong probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged in 2019. The five-year Treasury note now yields about 2.44%—down from more than 3% in November—which makes the higher yields on many dividend stocks attractive by comparison.

Any short-term capital risk inherent in buying high-quality dividend stocks is offset by the logic of betting on dividend payers that have a history of producing solid income for investors via a rising stock price driven by solid earnings and reliable dividend increases. Here are two examples we like:

h2 1. Altria Group/h2

Altria’s (NYSE:MO) 6.50% dividend yield is unquestionably attractive. The parent company of Philip Morris USA, with high-profile brands such as Marlboro, Skoal and Nat Sherman, cigarette maker Altria—whose shares closed at $48.84 on Friday—has seen its stock lose about 40% of value since the summer of 2017 as new government regulations and declining adult consumption of traditional tobacco products damaged the company’s growth potential.