Alcoa Surges On Tariff Talk

 | Jan 19, 2017 01:09PM ET

Tariff talk on Chinese metal imports sent Alcoa (NYSE:AA) soaring. The stock has benefited from Donald Trump's rhetoric on trade tariffs. As the stock surges higher, calculating the final target becomes extremely important -- for investors holding the stock long and those looking to short it. To calculate this target, investors need to note the perfect measured move in progress. Notice that the first move up was $12 -- from $20 to $32. Then note the perfect bullish consolidation sideways, prior to the breakout. To figure out the target, simply take that same $12 move and add it to the low of the current surge. The low is $28, so adding $12 gives you a final target of $40. In other words, Alcoa has another $5 of upside before it slams into mega resistance and becomes a short trade.

Long investors can enjoy the ride for another 15% upside.