Add “X” to Boost QQQ Yield From 0.9% to 8.4%

 | Feb 08, 2023 05:19AM ET

Get ready, my fellow contrarians—QQQ “amateur season” is approaching! If you watch as much March basketball as I do, you’re about to hear this repeated hundreds of times:

I’m an investor in Invesco QQQ, a fund that gives me access to Nasdaq-100 innovations like volumetric video technology.
for its Nasdaq-100 ETF

This quote, my fellow “March Madness” fans, is from a commercial for Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ). Within weeks, it will be played nonstop. The ad features flashy camera angles with average investors “dropping knowledge” about the tech stocks they are proud to own via this ETF.

In the spot, the investor humblebrags about her “volumetric” video technology investment. English translation: The use of many cameras at different angles to make a sporting event look three-dimensional on TV. (Last year, ESPN broadcast a professional basketball game for the first time using this slick technology.)

In the 30-second spot, our QQQ fangirl did not mention the fund’s dividend. This is no surprise because QQQ doesn’t pay much. Over the past twelve months, this one-click way to buy “volumetric video” yielded just 0.9%.

Good luck retiring on dividends with that yield. A $1 million stake in QQQ throws off just $9,000 in annual dividend income. Crumbs.

I can hear the counterargument now. “But Brett, you’re a software guy. Tech businesses are capital efficient. They are laying off humans left and right, which will boost future profit margins.

“Plus, Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell sounded as dovish as can be last week. With Jay pillow-talking the bond market, doesn’t that mean lower rates? Which would be bullish for the QQQs?”

Yes and no. First, I don’t think the job market will cooperate with the Fed’s inflation cleanup efforts. Wage growth remains hot. This means, despite Jay’s hopes, we must remind him (and Wall Street at large) that hope is not a strategy.

Profitless tech stocks will be challenged for months and likely years. They take on debt to fuel growth, but their borrowing costs are going up.

QQQ is full of money losers, which is why it lost 33% in 2022. Thirty-three percent! That’s a volumetric decline if I’ve ever seen one.

And yeah, that sad 0.9% dividend doesn’t help. We’re trying to retire on payouts here, people! Let’s say we have “only” a million to invest. I understand that a million bucks isn’t what it used to be, but QQQ only nets us $9,000 in annual dividend income on that million!

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