3% 10 Year Note Yield Not In The Picture Right Now
MrTopStep | Mar 13, 2018 08:49AM ET
- In Asia 7 out of 11 markets closed higher: Shanghai Comp -0.46%, Hang Seng +0.02%, Nikkei +0.66%
- In Europe 6 out of 12 markets are trading higher: CAC +0.41%, DAX +0.02%, FTSE -0.19%
- Fair Value: S&P +4.94, NASDAQ +28.18, Dow +30.06
- Total Volume: 1.2mil ESH and 1.6mil ESM & 13k SPH, and 12.9k SPM traded in the pit
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 6:00 AM ET, Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET, Redbook 8:55 AM ET, and a 30-Yr Bond Auction at 1:00 PM ET.
h2 S&P 500 Futures: Buy #NQ / Sell #DOW / MOC Buy $1.46 Billion/h2Global stock markets started out the week on a positive note following last Friday’s upbeat jobs report. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.9%, and South Korea’s Kospi added 1%, sending both indexes to their highest finish in five weeks.
The S&P 500 futures rallied all the way up to 2805.25 during Sunday nights Globex session, and sold off down to 2792.50 just before Monday’s 8:30 CT bell. The first print of the day came in at 2795.00, followed by a trade up to 2802.25, and then made four lower highs before trading down to 2792.25, 1 tick above Fridays high at 2792.00. After another set of lower highs, the ES ran sell stops down to 2783.75, and then bounced back up to the 2793.00 area.
That last rally couldn’t hold, and the next move was back down to 2784.25. After the low was in, the MiM went from $503 million to buy to $896 million to buy, and the ES traded back up to 2794.24, and then up to 2797.00 when the MiM increased to $1.46 billion to buy. After the imbalance came out, the ES sold off, traded 2790.00 on the 3:00 cash close, and went on to settle at 2789.25 on the 3:15 futures close.
In the end, the ES had a good late day run up, but it never got back up to the early highs, nor did it hold up going into the close. The MiM caused a late day buy, but the MOC algo’s jammed the retail longs going into the close. There was also a big rotation. The big ETF and mutual funds were buying the Nasdaq and selling the Dow all day. Clearly, the big push up to 2805.00 used up a good share of the ES’s buying power.
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