Since the 2009 lows, Semiconductors have taken a leadership role as they have far outpaced the gains of the S&P 500.
Gains since the 2009 lows; iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) = +821% S&P 500 = +273%. The SOXX index has spent the majority of the past 10-years inside of rising channel (1), which first started at the 2009 lows.
As the SOXX index is testing the top of this 10-year rising channel, it is also testing its Fibonacci 423% extension level of its 2001 highs and 2009 lows at (2). This leading index would send a positive message to tech and the broad market if it would happen to succeed in breaking out at (2).
Stock bulls would receive a cautionary message from this tech leader if it started experiencing some selling pressure at this dual breakout test. Keep a close eye on the SOXX index over the next few weeks, as this looks to be a very important long-term test for bullish leadership!
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