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Tech Index Eyes Must-Hold Support Test

Published 11/19/2018, 03:40 PM

Monthly Nasdaq Composite

This chart looks at the Nasdaq Composite index over the past 22 years on a monthly basis. The chart shows that the index has spent a majority of the past 18 years inside of rising channel (1).

The rally off the 2009 lows hit the top of the channel a couple of months ago at (2), where it looks to have created a bearish hanging man pattern as it kissed the underside of the rising channel. It hit resistance as momentum is at the highest level since the dot-com highs in 2000.

Selling pressure over the past 6 weeks has this important tech index testing 9-year rising support this month as momentum looks to be moving lower after creating lower highs.

The long-term trend for the index remains up as it faces one of its most important support tests in the past 9 years at (3). If dual support does not hold at (3), look for selling pressure to ramp up.

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