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S&P 500 Breakout Support Holds

Published 08/18/2016, 12:07 AM

The weak start didn't deliver a rout in markets. Instead, after the obligatory first half-hour of trading came the (bullish) reversal which lasted the rest of the day. The overall picture hasn't changed, with the S&P stuck inside a narrow range, but a panic sell-off looks less likely now.

Buyers look keen to defend drops below 2,170 in the S&P. Volume climbed to register accumulation, despite general holiday volumes.

Bulls will want to see a fresh MACD 'buy' to confirm an end to an effective 7-week consolidation. Aggressive traders can look to the 20-day MA for buying opportunities and/or trailing stops.

SPX Daily Chart

In the absence of a trading range, the Nasdaq found support on its approach to its 20-day MA. It didn't quite reach it, but there may be a kick higher in the absence of any real overhead resistance.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 was perhaps the only disappointment. While it did stage a late day recovery from its 20-day MA, it still finished below yesterday's close. If there is going to be further selling this week, then Small Caps may be the most vulnerable to this.

RUT Daily Chart

On sector news front, there have been two weak 'buy' triggers in utilities. While the first was likely to have led to a stop out, today's was nice for those taking the bite off the open price. The sector finished with a bullish engulfing pattern on big volume.

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XLU Daily Chart

For tomorrow, bulls can look for continued gains in the S&P and Nasdaq. Bears should continue to track the Russell 2000.

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