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Large Speculators Boost US Dollar Bullish Positions For 3rd Week

Published 07/19/2015, 01:47 AM

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: Currencies

USD: COT Large Speculators Sentiment

US dollar net speculator positions rose last week to +$27.29 billion

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators increased their overall net bullish positions in the US dollar last week for a third straight week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling +$27.29 billion as of Tuesday July 14th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of +$1.53 billion from the +$25.76 billion total long position that was registered on July 7th, according to the Reuters calculation that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

Last week’s data brings the US dollar speculative level to the highest level since June 9th, when net positions stood at +$34.70 billion.

Weekly Speculator Contract Changes:

Weekly changes for the major currencies showed that large speculators increased their bets in favor of just the Japanese yen, while decreasing weekly bets for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican peso.

This latest COT data is through Tuesday July 14th and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers and traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar, while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

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Please see the individual currency charts and their respective data points below. (Click on Charts to Enlarge)

Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

Euro: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201506094365408137176715-30421-13797427538
20150616350145-86395122971-53744-8935748617
20150623345427-47181319098938-99306-9949
201506303461156881347562847-100035-729
2015070735488587701414786722-99266769
2015071435676018751439242446-107781-8515

British Pound Sterling:

GBP: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201506091810495758304401926-28277-2619
20150616146635-3441425547-4893-254342843
201506231786413200615587-9960-221943240
2015063018141327727118-8469-127599435
20150707168480-129332117114053-22973-10214
20150714157073-11407232132042-24199-1226

Japanese Yen:

JPY: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201506093064494634517447733631-116286-30593
20150616262329-44120130620-43857-8066435622
20150623247839-144901353244704-87717-7053
201506302540146175117282-18042-788228895
20150707250828-3186100465-16817-6362915193
20150714247704-312483497-16968-4737116258
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Swiss Franc:

CHF: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150609338131364-5885-1012101291770
2015061619852-13961-150943765358-4771
20150623218692017-3348-183970721714
2015063021472-397-3501-1536855-217
2015070723740226816936706121-734
2015071422390-1350130511363081-3040

Canadian Dollar:

CAD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150609118799-43282267810344-13745-12720
20150616118620-17922962284-122811464
2015062381380-37240244061444-17579-5298
201506309179710417307536347-23450-5871
20150707120095282984745316700-32268-8818
20150714138431183366072813275-40726-8458

Australian Dollar:

AUD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150609165681920734010499-14027-771
20150616119362-4631919713-14297-40489979
20150623116184-3178244754762-9052-5004
201506301184432259287434268-12031-2979
20150707135648172054756518822-22197-10166
20150714148406127586010112536-33541-11344
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New Zealand Dollar:

NZD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150609369113906150321845-11795-1256
201506163716925812698-2334-91682627
20150623429115742175064808-13563-4395
2015063043256345201632657-16066-2503
2015070742873-383221642001-18348-2282
2015071442311-562235371373-19654-1306

Mexican Peso:

MXN: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
2015060917902626217559737734-51132-6005
20150616133660-4536654422-1551-52490-1358
20150623111876-2178431172-23250-2786724623
20150630111471-4054255311381-38759-10892
20150707140418289477715534602-72415-33656
201507141536391322177500345-72718-303

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

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