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FX Speculators Cut U.S. Dollar Positions To Lowest In Over A Year

Published 09/20/2015, 01:40 AM

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: Currencies

Reuters-Speculators-COT

US Dollar net speculator positions fell last week to +$20.97 billion

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators cut back on their overall net bullish positions in the US dollar last week to the lowest level in over a year.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $20.97 billion as of Tuesday September 15th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of -$1.10 billion from the $22.07 billion total long position that was registered on September 15th, according to the Reuters calculation that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The latest data puts the US dollar speculative level at the lowest level since July 29th of 2014 when net positions stood at $20.24 billion. The speculative bets for the US dollar have now fallen four out of the last five weeks.

Weekly Speculator Contract Changes:

Weekly changes for the major currencies showed that large speculators increased their bets in favor of the British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican Peso while decreasing weekly bets for the euro and the Japanese yen.

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This latest COT data is through Tuesday September 15th and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

Euro FX Chart

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150811361334-6551152323300-115210-1816
20150818356952-4382122326-29997-9273222478
201508253749771802591151-31175-6607826654
20150901363980-1099788343-2808-67857-1779
201509083831871920710844520102-81241-13384
20150915311366-71821102410-6035-84202-2961

British Pound Sterling:

GBP COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150811158247-1097780681672-10371-3814
2015081817208313836-2449-10517-39716400
201508251769624879-10144-769532997270
20150901170032-69301667226816-11239-14538
20150908186994169623090814236-17638-6399
20150915145704-4129013699-17209-361914019
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Japanese Yen:

Japanese Yen COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201508112646081195314807528094-105226-25510
20150818251418-13190125219-22856-9013015096
20150825260458904054714-70505-3905951071
201509012732051274728503-26211-1555523504
20150908279712650721012-7491-66628893
20150915166081-1136313955918547-26814-20152

Swiss Franc:

CHF COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150811436776278237889059-7012-5546
2015081843588-89261382350-9868-2856
2015082537901-568720795-5343-12597-2729
2015090136203-169817424-3371-85034094
2015090840937473418400976-68961607
2015091537846-30917608-10792378210678

Canadian Dollar:

Canadian Dollar COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
201508111722522165897802060-67405-3225
20150818161743-1050986078-3702-66794611
20150825168819707680808-5270-597127082
20150901161893-692676574-4234-551194593
20150908159492-240168580-7994-486406479
201509151880432855169332752-470831557

Australian Dollar:

Australian Dollar COT

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Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150811164751-365378735-2716-51270-1858
20150818161344-340776778-1957-498831387
20150825174378130348923912461-63727-13844
20150901173947-43182795-6444-557327995
2015090819076116814846841889-533162416
20150915156879-3388266468-18216-4072912587

New Zealand Dollar:

New Zealand Dollar COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
2015081136861-166914376-1565-105721327
2015081836523-33813681-695-9957615
2015082533400-31239686-3995-60633894
2015090134339939122652579-8279-2216
20150908383253986156803415-11820-3541
2015091533352-49735761-9919-20949726

Mexican Peso:

Mexican Peso COT

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestChange OINet Commercial PositionsWeekly Com ChangesNet Large Specs PositionsWeekly Spec Changes
20150811173781-1730676421-11545-7056911479
20150818171467-231464295-12126-6042710142
20150825196090246238717822883-83053-22626
20150901191019-507182603-4575-769376116
20150908188237-278275711-6892-709515986
20150915130555-5768260227-15484-5528515666

COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

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Risk Disclosure: Foreign Currency trading and trading on margin carries a high level of risk and can result in loss of part or all of your investment. Due to the level of risk and market volatility, Foreign Currency trading may not be suitable for all investors and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before deciding to invest in the foreign currency exchange market you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign currency exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor should you have any doubts. All information and opinions on this website are for general informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

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