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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
4.208
+0.010(+0.24%)
Delayed Data

United States 10-Year Discussions

F.B
Bullish data time to cut rates 🤡🤡
Why red?
the leading contributors to the increase in gdp were nondurable goods manufacturing (led by petroleum and coal products and chemical products).
death cross...only going down long term. invested at high yields and keeping it there for high compounding
Bonds and treasuries are created like fiat from thin air. Backed by taxation. They're a racket all nations are part of. Same beast many outlets called central banks. Militaries should overthrow them, the unelected.
I want to say the reports this week all have bearish implications for the market but the other part of me thinks its priced in and the yields continue down to represent rate cuts. Jobs data next week may have more bearish implications but overall bonds are stuck in a sideways pattern because of uncertainty around rate cuts. There might be clues from fed speaks but still.
I don't look for the next move higher in rates until CPI in a couple of weeks. There is a possibility for Monday with PCE coming out on market holiday preventing traders from trading any surprise, but the best chance for a surprise to send yields higher is CPI and PPI in a couple of weeks.
I see inflation in all the reports including and especially consumer confidence. Inflation will reduce consumer buying power thats true.
1.5 mile long critical infrastructure KEY bridge in Baltimore collapsed this morning. Market reaction - Nope.
Completely missed my point old chap. The markets are Completely irrational at the moment. The reactions to everything happening globally doesn't even make sense. So I'll ask again, Why would the markets react to this?
Ah! Sarcasm, lol. Difficult to tell these days. I'm still
Ah! Sarcasm, lol. Difficult to tell these days. I'm still astonished Dow closed green yesterday after one of the biggest hits on east coast infrastructure in US history. Markets completely disconnected from reality.
PCE is set to announce during the market holiday (good Friday).
Multiple times the PCE inflation ready comes in-line or mostly in-line with expectations.
TBF to short 20Y USA bonds
You can also use tbt 2X or TTT 3x
Fed's Bostic says he now expects 'just one rate cut in 2024' There will be NO rate cuts. The fed will be forced to raise rates. The end is nigh. 3/22 Black Swan Russia > Ukraine. Buckle up.
Any black swan will result in the Fed lowering interest rates, quicker than we expect.
Nope, down
Powell always says rate cut just to avoid skyrocketting bond yield and more to pay for financing debt. The rate will go up next years for sure!
Why dont they use AI to do the calculating and start including food and energy in inflation data. We all know why.
Why doesn't JP use AI to do the volatile math and start including food and energy prices when calculating inflation. Check mate that mofo
compare to dollar index bond yields not strong I hope it will break 4.35 in next 2 weeks
Every nation in the world will be cutting rates while the US raises them. This will cause currencies to collapse while the Dollar is skyrocketing, forcing nations to sell US Treasuries significantly below face value. The worse it gets, higher rates and the Dollar go. By design. - Financelot
Yes, Back to how it's supposed to be.
Good comment👍
Hot manufacturing data. Say bye bye to rate cuts
Housing sales... loans..inflationary... so much dollar bullish news the past 2 months but being artificially suppressed
Powell says lie only fake news influences very high and rate cut was not agree other member it's big scam
Keeping this down feels like trying to put ketchup back in the bottle
Transcript: Fed Chief Powell's Postmeeting Press Conference (MSN.com)
Rate waterfall incoming, buckle up !
lmao
look at it this way. the fed didnt cut yet. they have zero intent to raise.
I wouldn't say zero or even close that
If the fed follows its normal pattern, once the Fed recognizes it has a problem with inflation, it will take a full 3 meetings before the fed actually moves. Meeting 1 will be the acknowledgment there is a problem and a removal of the rate cuts. Meeting 2 will be the warning to the market they are finally thinking about moving. Meeting 3 they finally move and by that time are in a panic and making big risky moves. We all saw what happened lat time when they were 6 months late in moving and now we are looking at a minimum of 9 months late if they follow their normal pattern.
Metrics showed last year that higher for longer would not induce a recession. Even if then there isn't follow through on rate cuts, the value of current yields has already eroded in terms of actual inflation for day to day living expenses. It's a weird situation.
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