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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 7.4x - 8.2x | 7.8x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 8.1x - 9.0x | 8.5x |
| Fair Value | €10.69 - €11.81 | €11.25 |
| Upside | 19.1% - 31.6% | 25.4% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| HBX Group International plc | - | MUN:Q1D |
| Accor SA | - | XTRA:ACR |
| Dalata Hotel Group plc | - | DB:DHG |
| Meliá Hotels International, S.A. | - | DB:MEL |
| Carnival Corporation & plc | - | XTRA:POH1 |
| TUI AG | - | DB:TUI1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| Q1D | ACR | DHG | MEL | POH1 | TUI1 | |||
| MUN:Q1D | XTRA:ACR | DB:DHG | DB:MEL | XTRA:POH1 | DB:TUI1 | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 7.3% | 0.1% | 4.5% | -8.5% | 4.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | NM | -0.2% | -12.7% | 44.8% | 179.6% | 22.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -17.6% | -10.9% | -4.6% | -23.3% | -528.2% | -26.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -11.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 6.1% | -0.3% | 1.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -3.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 2.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -17.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 12.9x | 11.8x | 10.5x | 9.5x | 4.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.7x | 1.9x | 2.1x | 0.9x | 1.5x | 0.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -14.8x | 18.4x | 17.0x | 10.4x | 15.1x | 7.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -14.8x | 15.1x | 18.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -1.9x | -1.2x | 13.1x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 7.4x | 7.8x | 8.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 663 | 663 | 663 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,926 | 5,185 | 5,444 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 507.4 | 507.4 | 507.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.71 | 10.22 | 10.73 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.71 | 10.22 | 10.73 | 8.97 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.2% | 13.9% | 19.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | Q1D | ACR | DHG | MEL | POH1 | TUI1 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,956 | 10,661 | 1,338 | 1,797 | 39,384 | 4,553 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 247.2 | 240.3 | 210.1 | 220.2 | 1,454.0 | 507.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.91 | 44.36 | 6.37 | 8.16 | 27.09 | 8.97 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.91 | 44.36 | 6.37 | 8.16 | 23.24 | 8.97 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
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