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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Fair Value | €3.37 - €3.73 | €3.55 |
Upside | 13.2% - 25.1% | 19.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Alamos Gold Inc. | - | TSX:AGI |
Lundin Gold Inc. | - | TSX:LUG |
OR Royalties Inc. | - | TSX:OR |
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | - | TSX:WPM |
Barrick Mining Corporation | - | TSX:ABX |
Dynacor Group Inc. | - | DB:OA5 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AGI | LUG | OR | WPM | ABX | OA5 | |||
TSX:AGI | TSX:LUG | TSX:OR | TSX:WPM | TSX:ABX | DB:OA5 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 14.5% | NM- | -8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 22.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | 17.8% | 17.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 13.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 33.6% | 51.6% | 9.1% | 32.8% | 15.7% | 13.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 11.2% | -0.3% | -30.2% | 53.9% | 22.7% | 5.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 20.5% | 19.9% | -20.4% | 52.9% | 11.2% | 6.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 21.1% | 35.7% | 8.5% | 41.2% | 16.6% | 5.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.4% | 40.6% | 15.3% | 42.5% | 17.5% | 5.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.7x | 12.5x | 30.7x | 37.0x | 6.6x | 3.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 7.9x | 8.7x | 26.5x | 29.6x | 2.8x | 0.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 42.8x | 21.3x | 173.2x | 69.6x | 16.0x | 8.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 2.8x | 8.7x | 29.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.5x | 0.6x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 297 | 297 | 297 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 167 | 175 | 184 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 42.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.97 | 4.18 | 4.39 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.38 | 3.56 | 3.74 | 2.98 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.5% | 19.5% | 25.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AGI | LUG | OR | WPM | ABX | OA5 | |
Value of Common Equity | 10,816 | 11,266 | 5,221 | 42,623 | 36,984 | 147 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 420.6 | 241.3 | 187.5 | 454.0 | 1,719.5 | 42.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 25.72 | 46.69 | 27.85 | 93.89 | 21.51 | 3.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 35.13 | 63.78 | 38.04 | 128.25 | 29.38 | 2.98 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.17 |